The Jewish vote
(The Monkey Cage) -- by Andrew Gelman --
John’s post about Obama’s popularity among Jews reminds me of a point that I made a few months ago and a few years back:
Why should we care about a voting bloc that represents only 2% of the population (and even if Jews turn out at a 50% higher rate than others, that would still be only 3% of the voters), most of whom are in non-battleground states such as New York, California, and New Jersey? Even in Florida, Jews are less than 4% of the population. I think a lot of this has to be about campaign contributions and news media influence. But, if so, the relevant questions have to do with intensity of opinions among elite Jews rather than aggregates.This sort of concern is not restricted to Jews, of course. Different minority groups exercise political power in different ways. I just thought it was worth pointing out that this isn’t a pure public opinion issue but rather something with more indirect pathways.
But I get annoyed when pundits talk about the Jewish vote as if it’s about votes...
...Steve Sailer September 17, 2011 at 3:19 am
The best estimate I’ve seen is that Jewish-Americans comprised about 35% of the Forbes 400 in 2009. By way of comparison, Italian-Americans, who mostly arrived at Ellis Island about the same time as Jewish Americans and live in similar parts of the country, made up about 3.5%. The usual estimate is that there are several times more Italians than Jews in the U.S.. So, that would imply that Jews are between one and two orders of magnitude per capita more likely than Italians to make the Forbes 400...MORE...LINK
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